Russia has deployed yet another satellite with potential anti-satellite capabilities. Cosmos 2576, launched from the Plesetsk Cosmodrome, is part of Russia’s strategy to maintain an arsenal of space weapons.
On May 20, Ambassador Robert Wood, the US alternate representative for special political affairs in the United Nations, expressed concerns that Cosmos 2576 is “likely a counter-space weapon, presumably capable of attacking other satellites in low Earth orbit.”
The deployment of Cosmos 2576 follows a familiar pattern, echoing the 2022 launch of Cosmos 2558, which tailed American reconnaissance satellite USA 326.
The US government fears that if Cosmos 2576 were to tamper with USA 314, it would be considered an act of war. Such actions could cripple US military operations reliant on satellite communications, navigation, and reconnaissance.
The implications of a potential space war are dire. The destruction of satellites would create vast clouds of debris, exacerbating the already significant problem of space junk. According to the Union of Concerned Scientists, there are currently 384,000 fragments of debris in low Earth orbit.
A single anti-satellite test by China in 2007 generated 152,500 pieces of debris, highlighting the catastrophic potential of space warfare.
The International Space Station (ISS) has had to perform evasive maneuvers over 30 times since 1999 to avoid space debris. An all-out space conflict could make low Earth orbit nearly unusable, posing a threat not just to military operations but to all satellite-dependent activities, including global communications and navigation.
While the United States and China also possess similar inspection satellites and space capabilities, the current geopolitical climate with Russia’s ongoing major war increases the urgency and recklessness of these developments.
The potential for an orbital arms race raises significant concerns about the future of space security and the sustainability of space activities for all nations.